24/05/2026
Wether update.
It will be a wet end to autumn this week for most of the south-east, after a very dry season.
Rain will be generated by a low pressure system and broad surface trough, which are tapping into tropical moisture over northern Australia.
However, the situation is still evolving. Different computer weather models, which help predict the weather, are showing a range of rainfall possibilities for the 5 days between Sunday and Thursday night.
While most areas will see some rain, there are still differences as to where the highest totals will be.
The Australian (ACCESS) and European (EC) models agree on moderate to heavy rainfall over southern South Australia, northern New South Wales, southern inland Queensland and eastern Tasmania. Some of these areas could see localised flooding.
The consensus is not as strong over southern NSW, Victoria and south-east Queensland. For example, the Australian model is forecasting 5-day totals of up to 50 mm over south-east Queensland, but the European model currently suggests around 10 mm.
It is not uncommon to see differences in the models when forecasting for weather systems that move quickly, and which can change rapidly depending on a range of factors.
Bureau meteorologists take into account these various, differing sources of information, along with local knowledge, to arrive at a best forecast for how much rain will fall. This is then issued as our official forecast. As weather models continue to update over the coming days, so will our forecasts.
Make sure you stay up-to-date with the latest forecasts and warnings as weather systems evolve via our website www.bom.gov.au or the BOM Weather app.