09/05/2026
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 PM CDT Sat Sep 05 2026
Valid 052000Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CAROLINAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY...
The threat of strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing
scattered damaging winds will continue this afternoon/evening across
parts of the Carolinas and southern Virginia. Isolated large hail
and severe winds may also occur over parts of the northern/central
Plains through tonight.
...20Z Update...
Only minor changes were made with this update. The SLGT Risk was
trimmed behind an east-southeastward moving band of convection
moving across the Carolinas. While isolated redevelopment cannot be
entirely ruled out in the wake of this activity, the primary severe
risk will continue spreading eastward to the coast into this
evening.
Farther west, 5-percent hail probabilities were added in parts of
the lower OH Valley. Here, relatively steep deep-layer lapse rates,
around 30 kt of effective shear, and a cellular mode may support
isolated instances of marginally severe hail.
Elsewhere, the previous forecast remains on track.
